Wednesday, August 20, 2008

KAET Poll Shows McCain at 40% in AZ

Channel 8/KAET, based out of the campus of Arizona State University in Tempe, released polling for the Presidential Election showing McCain garnering 40%, with Obama at 30%, and undecideds at 28%. Pretty weak for a Senator in his home state, especially given these additional juicy nuggets from the breakdown:
The statewide telephone poll of 402 registered voters was conducted by the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication at Arizona State University and Eight/KAET-TV. The survey has a sampling error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points. The sample was 39 percent Republican, 33 percent Democrat and 29 percent Independents. Fifty-six percent of the interviews were conducted in Maricopa County, 19 percent in Pima County and 25 percent in Arizona’s other counties. Forty-seven percent of the voters interviewed are men and 53 percent are women. (emphasis mine)
If McCain is this anemic in Maricopa County (read: the Phoenix metro area) in a poll that oversamples Republicans, then Obama better get his Democratic rear-end to the Grand Canyon State for some appearances. I'd also suggest paying some attention to Pima County, since he has yet to come south of the Gila. His two previous gigs in AZ were in Tempe and Phoenix proper back during the primaries.

He'd also be smart to make some stops in Pinal County where one part of the expansive county is being hit hard by the mortgage crisis, and the other is ripe with rural, copper mining voters who are heavily unionized. It would help with the CD1 race that the indicted Renzi will be leaving wide open for a Dem. pickup as well as give him an opportunity to pay some attention to voters who are absolutely ignored by their political leaders at all levels.

Time to play some offense in McCain's neighborhood, Barack! His neighbors aren't too happy with him.

No comments: